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How to Decide to Buy Businesses or Real Estate During a Recession

How to Decide to Buy Businesses or Real Estate During a Recession

Posted by Marcelo Bermudez

As the market turns, new opportunities will show up to buy existing businesses or real estate.

The music will stop as owners:

  • Fail to pay down debt from EIDL or more expensive working capital lines,
  • Deal with the fall-out from inflationary costs in their supply chain, or
  • Cannot compete with the changes in their industry like:
    • Retailers getting their lunch eaten by fast fashion players like @SHEIN and @Urban Revivo, or
    • @TikTok upending how advertising dollars are spent to gain the attention of the audience

What businesses or assets should you consider buying that should thrive in a recession?

  • Boring Businesses – Ones that don’t require heavy equipment reinvestment and have recurring cash flow – Think laundromats, vending machines, and landscape service providers.
  • Commercial Real Estate – I can write several articles on this one, but the replacement value holds over time meaning you can ride the inflation to your benefit. Multi-family and Industrial property types remain the darling of the industry. The value-add opportunities may present themselves in retail and office as the market changes and finds new ways to use vacant space.
  • Bridge Lending – There are attractive bridge funds like @Arixa Capital and @Pangea Mortgage Capital that write loans against residential and commercial real estate. These funds offer investors stable cash flow and capital preservation since there is a margin of safety by staying in the 60-65% loan-to-value range.

Needs more tips or analysis on a business or piece of real estate you want to buy? Give us a call today.

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Marcelo Bermudez

Capital and Strategy
Marcelo Bermudez is the CEO of Shōkunin, a commercial real estate and business capital and strategy advisory firm.

As a strategist, keynote speaker, and mediator, he helps owners and investors unlock value and achieve their business and financial goals.

With hands-on experience managing businesses and navigating complex commercial real estate transactions, Marcelo understands the challenges of growth, restructuring, and successful exits.

He works closely with his clients to deliver practical solutions and drive results.

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