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Franchising Is Not the Safety Net Business Plans Pretend it is

Posted by Marcelo Bermudez
word-image-14720-1

 

Franchising shows up in a lot of business plans as a kind of future-proofing mechanism. It is presented as a way to scale without capital strain, transfer operating risk to franchisees, and create predictable royalty income that smooths out volatility.

 

On paper, it looks orderly. In practice, it is far less forgiving.

 

The recent Chapter 11 filings by Fat Brands and Twin Hospitality offer a useful case study. These were not early-stage concepts struggling to find product-market fit. They controlled multiple nationally recognized restaurant brands and oversaw thousands of locations worldwide. Franchising was already central to their growth story. It did not prevent distress.

 

That disconnect is worth examining, because it highlights a broader misunderstanding about what franchising does and does not solve.

 

Scale Does Not Equal Stability

 

Franchising expands footprint, not resilience.

 

A franchised system can grow quickly while the corporate entity becomes increasingly fragile. Franchise fees and royalties may look like recurring revenue, but they sit downstream of franchisee health, consumer demand, labor costs, and local market conditions. When pressure builds at the unit level, the franchisor feels it with a lag, often at the same time debt service and overhead are least flexible.

 

In the Fat Brands case, scale did not offset leverage. Acquisitions funded with debt created obligations that franchising could not absorb. The system grew outward while the balance sheet tightened inward. That tension eventually surfaced as a liquidity problem, not a branding problem.

 

Franchising does not neutralize capital structure risk. It simply operates alongside it.

 

Franchise Growth Does Not Replace Operating Discipline

 

Franchising also tends to be treated as an operating shortcut. The assumption is that franchisees carry the burden of execution while corporate focuses on brand, marketing, and expansion.

 

That division is less clean than it sounds.

 

Strong franchise systems require continuous investment in training, compliance, quality control, technology, and dispute resolution. Weak systems defer those investments and rely on momentum. Over time, that erosion shows up as inconsistent customer experience, franchisee dissatisfaction, and declining unit economics.

 

When franchisees struggle, royalty streams weaken. When royalty streams weaken, the corporate entity is forced to choose between supporting the system and protecting its own liquidity. That is not a theoretical dilemma. It is a structural one.

 

Growth through franchising does not eliminate operational responsibility. It redistributes it, often in ways that are harder to see from the outside.

 

Expansion Can Mask Structural Stress

 

Franchising also has a way of creating visual growth that distracts from financial reality.

 

New unit announcements, brand acquisitions, and geographic expansion read as progress. They can coexist, for a long time, with rising debt, narrowing margins, and increasing dependence on optimistic assumptions.

 

By the time the numbers assert themselves, the narrative has already been written.

 

This is where franchising becomes dangerous in business plans. It is often used to demonstrate upside without an equally rigorous explanation of downside. What happens if franchise sales slow. What happens if unit economics deteriorate. What happens if franchisees fail faster than they can be replaced.

 

Those questions are usually deferred. Eventually, they stop being theoretical.

 

What Franchising Is, and What It Is Not

 

Franchising can be an effective growth tool when the underlying business already works in a repeatable, disciplined way. It can extend a system that has durable unit economics, strong controls, and a capital structure that does not rely on perpetual expansion to remain solvent.

 

What it cannot do is compensate for leverage, substitute for operating rigor, or convert aspiration into cash flow.

 

When franchising appears in a business plan, the real question is not how many locations could exist in five years. It is whether the franchisor can withstand a period where growth slows, costs rise, and franchisees need support rather than recruitment.

 

That question is rarely answered directly. It should be.

 

The Practical Implication

 

For investors and lenders, franchising should be evaluated as a risk distribution mechanism, not a risk elimination strategy.

 

For operators, it should be treated as an obligation as much as an opportunity.

 

For business plans, it should be presented with the same scrutiny applied to capital expenditures, working capital, and debt service. If it only works in a straight line up, it is not a strategy. It is a hope.

 

The lesson from Fat Brands is not that franchising fails. It is that franchising does not forgive. It amplifies both discipline and disorder. Over time, it makes the difference visible.
Tags
Business plan franchisingFat Brands Chapter 11Franchise growth strategyRestaurant franchising lessonsTwin Hospitality
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Marcelo Bermudez

Capital and Strategy
Marcelo Bermudez is the CEO of Shōkunin, a commercial real estate and business capital and strategy advisory firm.

As a strategist, keynote speaker, and mediator, he helps owners and investors unlock value and achieve their business and financial goals.

With hands-on experience managing businesses and navigating complex commercial real estate transactions, Marcelo understands the challenges of growth, restructuring, and successful exits.

He works closely with his clients to deliver practical solutions and drive results.

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Franchising Is Not the Safety Net Business Plans Pretend It Is